Short-term Low Is In.

With the MC algorithm almost entirely on the buy-side and QL starting to move the same direction, I'll say the turn to being bullish will restart very soon.

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.4%	0%		was cash:	82.8%	17.2%
was stocks:	9.1%	71.5%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	28.5%	71.5%	bullish		82.8%	17.2%	bearish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.1%	0%		was cash:	76.3%	17.4%
was stocks:	0%	80.9%		was stocks:	6.3%	0%
	19.1%	80.9%	bullish		82.6%	17.4%	bearish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	36.5%	21.8%		was cash:	62%	27.8%
was stocks:	0%	41.7%		was stocks:	5.6%	4.6%
	36.5%	63.5%	bullish		67.6%	32.4%	bearish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9.7%	10.5%		was cash:	75.4%	18.4%
was stocks:	9%	70.7%		was stocks:	6.2%	0%
	18.8%	81.2%	bullish		81.6%	18.4%	bearish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	38.1%	0%		was cash:	82.6%	17.4%
was stocks:	0%	61.9%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	38.1%	61.9%	bullish		82.6%	17.4%	bearish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	36.9%		was cash:	60.2%	24.2%
was stocks:	0%	63.1%		was stocks:	9%	6.6%
	0%	100%	bullish		69.2%	30.8%	bearish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	37.3%	0%		was cash:	50.4%	42.7%
was stocks:	0%	62.7%		was stocks:	0%	6.9%
	37.3%	62.7%	bullish		50.4%	49.6%	bearish
PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks		PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.4%	9.9%		was cash:	8.6%	36.4%
was stocks:	0%	70.7%		was stocks:	37.8%	17.2%
	19.4%	80.6%	bullish		46.4%	53.6%	bullish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	54.9%	0%		was cash:	53.3%	31.7%
was stocks:	0%	45.1%		was stocks:	9.1%	5.9%
	54.9%	45.1%	bearish		62.4%	37.6%	bearish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	36.7%	21.1%		was cash:	59.2%	36%
was stocks:	0%	42.2%		was stocks:	4.9%	0%
	36.7%	63.3%	bullish		64%	36%	bearish

End of 2020-08-25

 

Mixed Call on The Metals and Miners

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9.3%	0%		was cash:	91.9%	8.1%
was stocks:	0%	90.7%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	9.3%	90.7%	bullish		91.9%	8.1%	bearish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	10.4%	9.5%		was cash:	77.4%	16.4%
was stocks:	9.4%	70.7%		was stocks:	6.2%	0%
	19.7%	80.3%	bullish		83.6%	16.4%	bearish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	36.5%	26.9%		was cash:	59.7%	24.3%
was stocks:	0%	36.6%		was stocks:	5%	11%
	36.5%	63.5%	bullish		64.7%	35.3%	bearish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.4%	0%		was cash:	75.1%	24.9%
was stocks:	0%	80.6%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	19.4%	80.6%	bullish		75.1%	24.9%	bearish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	0%		was cash:	61.9%	38.1%
was stocks:	9.4%	90.6%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	9.4%	90.6%	bullish		61.9%	38.1%	bearish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	17.8%	7.9%		was cash:	62.1%	23%
was stocks:	9.1%	65.2%		was stocks:	8.5%	6.4%
	26.9%	73.1%	bullish		70.6%	29.4%	bearish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	10.3%	26.9%		was cash:	84.4%	15.6%
was stocks:	10.2%	52.5%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	20.6%	79.4%	bullish		84.4%	15.6%	bearish
PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks		PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.9%	0%		was cash:	81.7%	18.3%
was stocks:	0%	80.1%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	19.9%	80.1%	bullish		81.7%	18.3%	bearish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	7.9%	0%		was cash:	76.7%	23.3%
was stocks:	0%	92.1%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	7.9%	92.1%	bullish		76.7%	23.3%	bearish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	6.7%	28.3%		was cash:	75.9%	7.4%
was stocks:	0%	65%		was stocks:	10.9%	5.8%
	6.7%	93.3%	bullish		86.8%	13.2%	bearish

 

 

Mostly Bullish for Precious Metals and Miners

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9.7%	9.8%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	80.6%		was stocks:	31.1%	68.9%
	9.7%	90.3%	bullish		31.1%	68.9%	bullish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	18.8%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	81.2%		was stocks:	7.7%	92.3%
	0%	100%	bullish		7.7%	92.3%	bullish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	22.2%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	36.9%	40.9%		was stocks:	46.7%	53.3%
	36.9%	63.1%	bullish		46.7%	53.3%	bullish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9.7%	9.9%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	10.1%	70.3%		was stocks:	24.9%	75.1%
	19.8%	80.2%	bullish		24.9%	75.1%	bullish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	20%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	80%		was stocks:	22.7%	77.3%
	0%	100%	bullish		22.7%	77.3%	bullish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	18.5%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	81.5%		was stocks:	70.7%	29.3%
	0%	100%	bullish		70.7%	29.3%	bearish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	10%	9.4%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	11%	69.7%		was stocks:	49.6%	50.4%
	21%	79%	bullish		49.6%	50.4%	bullish
PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks		PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	21.3%	11.4%		was cash:	16.5%	9.9%
was stocks:	22.2%	45.1%		was stocks:	46.5%	27.1%
	43.5%	56.5%	bullish		63%	37%	bearish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	23.6%	67.4%		was stocks:	92.2%	7.8%
	32.6%	67.4%	bullish		92.2%	7.8%	bearish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	9.3%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	39.5%	51.2%		was stocks:	50.3%	49.7%
	39.5%	60.5%	bullish		50.3%	49.7%	bearish

$GDX 30 Day Outlook

Almost All Indicators Are Hot For Prec. Metals

Wth one exception that being $PALL

The cash/stock differentials in the Qlearning column are quite impressive.

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	20%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	9.1%	70.9%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	29.1%	70.9%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.3%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	80.7%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	19.3%	80.7%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	23.4%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	76.6%		was stocks:	8.7%	91.3%
	23.4%	76.6%	bullish		8.7%	91.3%	bullish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.9%	29.4%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	50.7%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	19.9%	80.1%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	20.5%	19.7%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	59.8%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	20.5%	79.5%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	40.8%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	59.2%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	40.8%	59.2%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	20.2%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	8.9%	70.9%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	29.1%	70.9%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks		PALL Abrdn Phy Palladium	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	67.9%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	6.7%	25.4%		was stocks:	11%	89%
	74.6%	25.4%	bearish		11%	89%	bullish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9.3%	9%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	81.7%		was stocks:	18.1%	81.9%
	9.3%	90.7%	bullish		18.1%	81.9%	bullish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	10.1%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	89.9%		was stocks:	9%	91%
	10.1%	89.9%	bullish		9%	91%	bullish

 

Some Softening of the Bullish Stance On Prec.Metals.

$IAU 30 Day Look Ahead

Meanwhile, in the miner camp it's on the buy side.

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.2%	0%		was cash:	8.1%	17.4%
was stocks:	0%	80.8%		was stocks:	43.4%	31.1%
	19.2%	80.8%	bullish		51.5%	48.5%	bearish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	0%		was cash:	16.2%	8.3%
was stocks:	0%	100%		was stocks:	37.4%	38%
	0%	100%	bullish		53.7%	46.3%	bearish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	24.1%	0%		was cash:	0%	24.1%
was stocks:	13.1%	62.8%		was stocks:	22.9%	53%
	37.2%	62.8%	bullish		22.9%	77.1%	bullish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	0%		was cash:	0%	9.1%
was stocks:	0%	100%		was stocks:	48.7%	42.1%
	0%	100%	bullish		48.7%	51.3%	bullish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	0%		was cash:	33.2%	0%
was stocks:	0%	100%		was stocks:	35.9%	30.9%
	0%	100%	bullish		69.1%	30.9%	bearish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	26.8%	24.4%		was cash:	45.7%	6.2%
was stocks:	19.3%	29.5%		was stocks:	25.6%	22.4%
	46.1%	53.9%	bullish		71.3%	28.7%	bearish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	0%	20.3%		was cash:	0%	16.7%
was stocks:	10.5%	69.2%		was stocks:	23.7%	59.6%
	10.5%	89.5%	bullish		23.7%	76.3%	bullish
PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	23.7%	0%		was cash:	15.1%	13.3%
was stocks:	0%	76.3%		was stocks:	27%	44.6%
	23.7%	76.3%	bullish		42.1%	57.9%	bullish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	9.9%	20.5%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	23.7%	46%		was stocks:	81.8%	18.2%
	33.5%	66.5%	bullish		81.8%	18.2%	bearish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	34.7%	0%		was cash:	15.7%	10.1%
was stocks:	0%	65.3%		was stocks:	25.4%	48.8%
	34.7%	65.3%	bullish		41.1%	58.9%	bullish

Models Like Precious Metals - Miners Not As Much

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.3%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	80.7%		was stocks:	8.2%	91.8%
	19.3%	80.7%	bullish		8.2%	91.8%	bullish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	49%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	51%		was stocks:	8.1%	91.9%
	49%	51%	bullish		8.1%	91.9%	bullish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	15.4%	22.3%		was cash:	9.1%	68.2%
was stocks:	30%	32.2%		was stocks:	6.8%	15.9%
	45.4%	54.6%	bullish		15.9%	84.1%	bullish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	28.7%	10.7%		was cash:	0%	10.4%
was stocks:	10.5%	50.1%		was stocks:	0%	89.6%
	39.2%	60.8%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	38.8%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	0%	61.2%		was stocks:	0%	100%
	38.8%	61.2%	bullish		0%	100%	bullish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	49%	22.8%		was cash:	67.8%	6.5%
was stocks:	10.8%	17.4%		was stocks:	8.9%	16.8%
	59.8%	40.2%	bearish		76.7%	23.3%	bearish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	21.4%	0%		was cash:	0%	75.5%
was stocks:	29.1%	49.5%		was stocks:	0%	24.5%
	50.5%	49.5%	bearish		0%	100%	bullish
PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	34.2%	0%		was cash:	53.6%	36.9%
was stocks:	36.7%	29.1%		was stocks:	9.5%	0%
	70.9%	29.1%	bearish		63.1%	36.9%	bearish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	30.9%	0%		was cash:	0%	41.4%
was stocks:	0%	69.1%		was stocks:	6.7%	52%
	30.9%	69.1%	bullish		6.7%	93.3%	bullish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	15.8%	0%		was cash:	16.3%	76.1%
was stocks:	50.9%	33.3%		was stocks:	0%	7.6%
	66.7%	33.3%	bearish		16.3%	83.7%	bullish

$IAU 30 Day Outlook

Generally Bullish for Metals and Miners.

Monte Carlo				Qlearning
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks		GLD SPDR Gold Shares	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	21.2%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	9.3%	69.4%		was stocks:	30.3%	69.7%
	30.6%	69.4%	bullish		30.3%	69.7%	bullish
IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks		IAU IShrs Gold Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	10.5%	9.8%		was cash:	0%	8.6%
was stocks:	9.4%	70.3%		was stocks:	22.5%	68.9%
	19.9%	80.1%	bullish		22.5%	77.5%	bullish
SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks		SLV IShrs Silver Trust	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	19.7%	19.3%		was cash:	48.2%	22.8%
was stocks:	0%	60.9%		was stocks:	29.1%	0%
	19.7%	80.3%	bullish		77.2%	22.8%	bearish
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks		SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	21.3%	0%		was cash:	0%	0%
was stocks:	9.1%	69.6%		was stocks:	8.5%	91.5%
	30.4%	69.6%	bullish		8.5%	91.5%	bullish
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLDM SPDR Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	21.9%	0%		was cash:	9.1%	0%
was stocks:	18.6%	59.5%		was stocks:	22.6%	68.3%
	40.5%	59.5%	bullish		31.7%	68.3%	bullish
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks		PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	58.6%	9.6%		was cash:	78.4%	21.6%
was stocks:	9.7%	22.1%		was stocks:	0%	0%
	68.3%	31.7%	bearish		78.4%	21.6%	bearish
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GLTR Drxn Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	70.2%	8.9%		was cash:	69.5%	15.4%
was stocks:	0%	21%		was stocks:	15.1%	0%
	70.2%	29.8%	bearish		84.6%	15.4%	bearish
PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	44.7%	18.5%		was cash:	67.3%	8%
was stocks:	0%	36.8%		was stocks:	8.8%	15.9%
	44.7%	55.3%	bullish		76.1%	23.9%	bearish
GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks		GDX VanEck Gold Miners	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	55.7%	0%		was cash:	20.7%	32.2%
was stocks:	23.9%	20.4%		was stocks:	9.6%	37.6%
	79.6%	20.4%	bearish		30.2%	69.8%	bullish
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks		SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver	to cash	to stocks
was cash:	17.7%	20.7%		was cash:	42.6%	16.5%
was stocks:	10%	51.6%		was stocks:	33.3%	7.7%
	27.7%	72.3%	bullish		75.8%	24.2%	bearish

End of 2020-06-15