Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 40.4% | 28% | was cash: | 0% | 8.7% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 31.6% | was stocks: | 15.3% | 75.9% | ||
40.4% | 59.6% | bullish | 15.3% | 84.7% | bullish | ||
IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 39.3% | 10.1% | was cash: | 0% | 8.5% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 50.5% | was stocks: | 7.6% | 83.9% | ||
39.3% | 60.7% | bullish | 7.6% | 92.4% | bullish | ||
SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 42.7% | 23% | was cash: | 19.5% | 14.2% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 34.2% | was stocks: | 16.7% | 49.5% | ||
42.7% | 57.3% | bullish | 36.2% | 63.8% | bullish | ||
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 51.9% | 9.8% | was cash: | 0% | 9.1% | ||
was stocks: | 10.3% | 27.9% | was stocks: | 0% | 90.9% | ||
62.2% | 37.8% | bearish | 0% | 100% | bullish | ||
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 41.1% | 9.8% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 49.1% | was stocks: | 8% | 92% | ||
41.1% | 58.9% | bullish | 8% | 92% | bullish | ||
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 49.6% | 31.4% | was cash: | 43.4% | 6.2% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 18.9% | was stocks: | 20.1% | 30.2% | ||
49.6% | 50.4% | bullish | 63.6% | 36.4% | bearish | ||
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLTR Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 39.9% | 11.4% | was cash: | 0% | 50.6% | ||
was stocks: | 10% | 38.7% | was stocks: | 8.8% | 40.5% | ||
49.9% | 50.1% | bullish | 8.8% | 91.2% | bullish | ||
PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 28.9% | 13% | was cash: | 43.8% | 50.9% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 58% | was stocks: | 5.4% | 0% | ||
28.9% | 71.1% | bullish | 49.1% | 50.9% | bullish | ||
GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 68.2% | 0% | was cash: | 17.2% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 31.8% | was stocks: | 0% | 82.8% | ||
68.2% | 31.8% | bearish | 17.2% | 82.8% | bullish | ||
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver | to cash | to stocks | SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 30.3% | 22.9% | was cash: | 15.6% | 22% | ||
was stocks: | 11.3% | 35.6% | was stocks: | 18.9% | 43.4% | ||
41.6% | 58.4% | bullish | 34.5% | 65.5% | bullish |
Using An Ensemble of 13 Machine Learning and 13 QLearning models I am trying to estimate a short term trend for a select group of precious metals and miner related ETFs.
Friday, April 24, 2020
Still Mostly Bullish on Prec. Metals.
Wednesday, April 15, 2020
Very Bullish On The Prec. Metals... well almost
While 18 out of 20 are bullish, the % differentials are low for the Monte Carlo calls. And then there is the 2 bearish calls in Monte too.
Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 39% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 61% | was stocks: | 7.4% | 92.6% | ||
39% | 61% | bullish | 7.4% | 92.6% | bullish | ||
IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 47.8% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 52.2% | was stocks: | 8.2% | 91.8% | ||
47.8% | 52.2% | bullish | 8.2% | 91.8% | bullish | ||
SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 31.8% | 30.5% | was cash: | 6.4% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 11% | 26.7% | was stocks: | 24.8% | 68.8% | ||
42.8% | 57.2% | bullish | 31.2% | 68.8% | bullish | ||
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 47.9% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 52.1% | was stocks: | 33% | 67% | ||
47.9% | 52.1% | bullish | 33% | 67% | bullish | ||
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 37.5% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 62.5% | was stocks: | 15.6% | 84.4% | ||
37.5% | 62.5% | bullish | 15.6% | 84.4% | bullish | ||
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 40.5% | 23% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 36.5% | was stocks: | 38.7% | 61.3% | ||
40.5% | 59.5% | bullish | 38.7% | 61.3% | bullish | ||
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLTR Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 30.9% | 10.5% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 58.6% | was stocks: | 34% | 66% | ||
30.9% | 69.1% | bullish | 34% | 66% | bullish | ||
PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 18.1% | 21.7% | was cash: | 37.2% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 11.8% | 48.4% | was stocks: | 54.9% | 7.9% | ||
29.9% | 70.1% | bullish | 92.1% | 7.9% | bearish | ||
GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 80.4% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 19.6% | was stocks: | 46.8% | 53.2% | ||
80.4% | 19.6% | bearish | 46.8% | 53.2% | bullish | ||
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver | to cash | to stocks | SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 18.3% | 9.4% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 34% | 38.2% | was stocks: | 34.1% | 65.9% | ||
52.3% | 47.7% | bearish | 34.1% | 65.9% | bullish |
Saturday, April 11, 2020
Moving to The Buy Side
Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 39.1% | 11.1% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 9.8% | 40.1% | was stocks: | 31.6% | 68.4% | ||
48.8% | 51.2% | bullish | 31.6% | 68.4% | bullish | ||
IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 29.9% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 39% | 31.1% | was stocks: | 31.3% | 68.7% | ||
68.9% | 31.1% | bearish | 31.3% | 68.7% | bullish | ||
SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 9.5% | 11% | was cash: | 6.1% | 7.4% | ||
was stocks: | 7.2% | 72.2% | was stocks: | 7.7% | 78.8% | ||
16.7% | 83.3% | bullish | 13.8% | 86.2% | bullish | ||
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 39.2% | 11.2% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 19.1% | 30.5% | was stocks: | 24.9% | 75.1% | ||
58.3% | 41.7% | bearish | 24.9% | 75.1% | bullish | ||
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 32.6% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 26.9% | 40.6% | was stocks: | 23.2% | 76.8% | ||
59.4% | 40.6% | bearish | 23.2% | 76.8% | bullish | ||
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 20.7% | 17.5% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 21.2% | 40.6% | was stocks: | 23.2% | 76.8% | ||
41.9% | 58.1% | bullish | 23.2% | 76.8% | bullish | ||
GLTR Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLTR Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 40.8% | 9.4% | was cash: | 7.6% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 10.5% | 39.3% | was stocks: | 8.4% | 84% | ||
51.3% | 48.7% | bearish | 16% | 84% | bullish | ||
PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | PALL Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 41.9% | 0% | was cash: | 62.3% | 18% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 58.1% | was stocks: | 12.5% | 7.2% | ||
41.9% | 58.1% | bullish | 74.7% | 25.3% | bearish | ||
GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 22.7% | 23.7% | was cash: | 0% | 20.6% | ||
was stocks: | 20.5% | 33.2% | was stocks: | 7.2% | 72.2% | ||
43.1% | 56.9% | bullish | 7.2% | 92.8% | bullish | ||
SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver | to cash | to stocks | SIVR Abrdn Phy Silver | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 18.2% | 0% | was cash: | 6.2% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 81.8% | was stocks: | 8.5% | 85.3% | ||
18.2% | 81.8% | bullish | 14.7% | 85.3% | bullish |
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