Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.5% | 0% | was cash: | 23.3% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 30.6% | 49.8% | was stocks: | 28.2% | 48.6% | ||
50.2% | 49.8% | bearish | 51.4% | 48.6% | bearish | ||
IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.8% | 0% | was cash: | 8.1% | 7.6% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 80.2% | was stocks: | 28.2% | 56% | ||
19.8% | 80.2% | bullish | 36.4% | 63.6% | bullish | ||
SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 9.3% | 18.9% | was cash: | 8.3% | 7% | ||
was stocks: | 8.7% | 63.2% | was stocks: | 6.6% | 78.1% | ||
18% | 82% | bullish | 14.9% | 85.1% | bullish | ||
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 0% | 0% | was cash: | 16.4% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 39.5% | 60.5% | was stocks: | 14% | 69.6% | ||
39.5% | 60.5% | bullish | 30.4% | 69.6% | bullish | ||
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.6% | 10.4% | was cash: | 8.3% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 70.1% | was stocks: | 34.9% | 56.9% | ||
19.6% | 80.4% | bullish | 43.1% | 56.9% | bullish | ||
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 10.1% | 9.4% | was cash: | 7.6% | 23.3% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 80.5% | was stocks: | 35.3% | 33.8% | ||
10.1% | 89.9% | bullish | 42.8% | 57.2% | bullish | ||
NUGT Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | NUGT Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 54.5% | 7.8% | was cash: | 36.4% | 13.7% | ||
was stocks: | 11.9% | 25.8% | was stocks: | 18.1% | 31.9% | ||
66.4% | 33.6% | bearish | 54.4% | 45.6% | bearish | ||
JNUG Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | JNUG Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 52.1% | 0% | was cash: | 56.3% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 11.9% | 36% | was stocks: | 38.2% | 5.5% | ||
64% | 36% | bearish | 94.5% | 5.5% | bearish | ||
GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 29.8% | 10.5% | was cash: | 44.4% | 16.5% | ||
was stocks: | 10.6% | 49.1% | was stocks: | 25.7% | 13.4% | ||
40.4% | 59.6% | bullish | 70.1% | 29.9% | bearish | ||
GDXJ VanEck Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDXJ VanEck Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 51.1% | 0% | was cash: | 37.5% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 10.1% | 38.9% | was stocks: | 42% | 20.5% | ||
61.1% | 38.9% | bearish | 79.5% | 20.5% | bearish |
Using An Ensemble of 13 Machine Learning and 13 QLearning models I am trying to estimate a short term trend for a select group of precious metals and miner related ETFs.
Thursday, December 19, 2019
Not Liking The Miners Here.
Saturday, December 14, 2019
The Models Have Lost All of The Bear Calls They Made Earlier This Week for Metals and Miners.
Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 20.8% | 10% | was cash: | 8% | 29.8% | ||
was stocks: | 19.6% | 49.7% | was stocks: | 13.5% | 48.7% | ||
40.3% | 59.7% | bullish | 21.5% | 78.5% | bullish | ||
IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 10.2% | 9.7% | was cash: | 15.5% | 22.2% | ||
was stocks: | 19.8% | 60.3% | was stocks: | 6.8% | 55.5% | ||
30% | 70% | bullish | 22.3% | 77.7% | bullish | ||
SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 29% | 19.5% | was cash: | 23.5% | 29.3% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 51.6% | was stocks: | 7% | 40.2% | ||
29% | 71% | bullish | 30.5% | 69.5% | bullish | ||
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 0% | 0% | was cash: | 16.2% | 14.3% | ||
was stocks: | 20.4% | 79.6% | was stocks: | 13.9% | 55.6% | ||
20.4% | 79.6% | bullish | 30.1% | 69.9% | bullish | ||
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 20.4% | 9.9% | was cash: | 22.8% | 28.9% | ||
was stocks: | 19.9% | 49.9% | was stocks: | 13.6% | 34.7% | ||
40.3% | 59.7% | bullish | 36.4% | 63.6% | bullish | ||
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 10% | 30.2% | was cash: | 0% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 9.4% | 50.4% | was stocks: | 43.2% | 56.8% | ||
19.4% | 80.6% | bullish | 43.2% | 56.8% | bullish | ||
NUGT Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | NUGT Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 0% | 0% | was cash: | 11.5% | 15.5% | ||
was stocks: | 11.8% | 88.2% | was stocks: | 19.5% | 53.4% | ||
11.8% | 88.2% | bullish | 31% | 69% | bullish | ||
JNUG Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | JNUG Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 21.5% | 0% | was cash: | 8.3% | 15.1% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 78.5% | was stocks: | 18.5% | 58.2% | ||
21.5% | 78.5% | bullish | 26.8% | 73.2% | bullish | ||
GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.8% | 0% | was cash: | 9.2% | 30.7% | ||
was stocks: | 20.5% | 59.7% | was stocks: | 27.8% | 32.4% | ||
40.3% | 59.7% | bullish | 37% | 63% | bullish | ||
GDXJ VanEck Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDXJ VanEck Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 20.7% | 0% | was cash: | 0% | 31.5% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 79.3% | was stocks: | 7.8% | 60.7% | ||
20.7% | 79.3% | bullish | 7.8% | 92.2% | bullish |
Wednesday, December 11, 2019
Pretty Bearish for Prec. Metals and Miners
Monte Carlo | Qlearning | ||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | GLD SPDR Gold Shares | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.9% | 9.7% | was cash: | 57% | 21.8% | ||
was stocks: | 30.5% | 39.9% | was stocks: | 21.2% | 0% | ||
50.4% | 49.6% | bearish | 78.2% | 21.8% | bearish | ||
IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | IAU IShrs Gold Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 20.4% | 0% | was cash: | 56.7% | 21.7% | ||
was stocks: | 30.1% | 49.5% | was stocks: | 21.6% | 0% | ||
50.5% | 49.5% | bearish | 78.3% | 21.7% | bearish | ||
SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | SLV IShrs Silver Trust | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 40% | 38.8% | was cash: | 72.1% | 27.9% | ||
was stocks: | 9.8% | 11.4% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
49.7% | 50.3% | bullish | 72.1% | 27.9% | bearish | ||
SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | SGOL Abrdn Phy Swiss Gold | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.3% | 0% | was cash: | 100% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 20.4% | 60.4% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
39.6% | 60.4% | bullish | 100% | 0% | bearish | ||
GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GLDM SPDR Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 20.3% | 0% | was cash: | 71.8% | 7.1% | ||
was stocks: | 0% | 79.7% | was stocks: | 21.1% | 0% | ||
20.3% | 79.7% | bullish | 92.9% | 7.1% | bearish | ||
PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | PPLT Abrdn Phy Platinum | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 19.7% | 41.4% | was cash: | 0% | 51.7% | ||
was stocks: | 19.2% | 19.7% | was stocks: | 6.6% | 41.7% | ||
39% | 61% | bullish | 6.6% | 93.4% | bullish | ||
NUGT Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | NUGT Drxn Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 40.9% | 0% | was cash: | 90.9% | 9.1% | ||
was stocks: | 33.6% | 25.5% | was stocks: | 0% | 0% | ||
74.5% | 25.5% | bearish | 90.9% | 9.1% | bearish | ||
JNUG Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | JNUG Drxn Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 46% | 0% | was cash: | 74.7% | 20% | ||
was stocks: | 15.1% | 38.9% | was stocks: | 5.2% | 0% | ||
61.1% | 38.9% | bearish | 80% | 20% | bearish | ||
GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDX VanEck Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 51.5% | 0% | was cash: | 93.8% | 0% | ||
was stocks: | 9.6% | 38.9% | was stocks: | 6.2% | 0% | ||
61.1% | 38.9% | bearish | 100% | 0% | bearish | ||
GDXJ VanEck Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | GDXJ VanEck Jr Gold Miners | to cash | to stocks | ||
was cash: | 31% | 0% | was cash: | 52.3% | 14.7% | ||
was stocks: | 19.1% | 49.9% | was stocks: | 13.3% | 19.7% | ||
50.1% | 49.9% | bearish | 65.6% | 34.4% | bearish |
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Short-term Low Is In.
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